Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.040448 0.044099 0.047797 0.051816 0.056053 0.060382 0.065132
2025-08-03 0.035334 0.040756 0.046445 0.052833 0.059781 0.067085 0.075317
2025-08-10 0.029410 0.035839 0.042816 0.050892 0.059923 0.069655 0.080880
2025-08-17 0.025560 0.032756 0.040808 0.050379 0.061337 0.073394 0.087561
2025-08-24 0.022404 0.030127 0.039021 0.049851 0.062517 0.076707 0.093650
2025-08-31 0.020847 0.029204 0.039060 0.051301 0.065863 0.082409 0.102412
2025-09-07 0.019307 0.028139 0.038799 0.052288 0.068583 0.087341 0.110271
2025-09-14 0.017802 0.026980 0.038307 0.052895 0.070779 0.091611 0.117337
2025-09-21 0.016283 0.025672 0.037522 0.053051 0.072356 0.095103 0.123460
2025-09-28 0.015489 0.025250 0.037799 0.054479 0.075453 0.100390 0.131714
2025-10-05 0.013919 0.023656 0.036468 0.053790 0.075871 0.102407 0.136036
2025-10-12 0.012821 0.022634 0.035813 0.053905 0.077242 0.105545 0.141685
2025-10-19 0.012039 0.022031 0.035713 0.054760 0.079592 0.109960 0.148997
2025-10-26 0.011462 0.021688 0.035939 0.056031 0.082477 0.115057 0.157186
2025-11-02 0.009888 0.019731 0.033838 0.054115 0.081196 0.114928 0.158934
2025-11-09 0.008910 0.018610 0.032842 0.053632 0.081728 0.117035 0.163421
2025-11-16 0.008011 0.017538 0.031856 0.053106 0.082162 0.118992 0.167707
2025-11-23 0.007746 0.017486 0.032348 0.054631 0.085320 0.124429 0.176374
2025-11-30 0.007373 0.017220 0.032501 0.055666 0.087820 0.129030 0.184012
2025-12-07 0.006927 0.016793 0.032386 0.056302 0.089774 0.132932 0.190779
2025-12-14 0.006403 0.016185 0.031960 0.056465 0.091071 0.135976 0.196463
2025-12-21 0.006217 0.016173 0.032451 0.057955 0.094184 0.141397 0.205199
2025-12-28 0.005567 0.015246 0.031457 0.057238 0.094235 0.142798 0.208790